Professor Abul Barkat
Department of Economics
University of Dhaka

 

 
 

I have few comments on the budget.

As Honorable Finance Minister provides more focus on poverty alleviation as he does always, there is no clear strategy for it. We have to define what we mean by poverty alleviation. Who are poor? And what portion of the budget is allocated for them? This is not clear in this budget. The strategy and budget allocation for poverty alleviation is not clear to me.

Total size of this year's budget is high. But we have to think that, last year government could not spend 70% of the ADP. How this increased budget will be realized this year? What are the reasons behind it? Is there any hidden reason behind it? There could be a political factor as the election is knocking at the door. Or is there any pressure from outside? This is not clear to me. But there are some factors behind it which is not clear to me.

Overall inflation rate is 1.4% and this rate is 7% for food. There is no clear strategy how this budget will contribute to control this inflation.

There is a provision of whitening black money and 6.5% tax is imposed on it. What is the benefit of it? In my findings I have observed that a total of 7,000 crore Taka came into our market as black money. Government declare it 100-1200 crore Taka. But end of the year, total black money realized was Taka 200-300 crore Taka. What is the benefit of it? We have to know the source of this block money. What is the amount of such black money? What are the sources? How to handle the sources? On the one hand, government anti-corruption department says that, whitening black money is not ethical; on the other hand government is keeping provision for it. Isn't contradictory? We have to make a well accepted conclusion.

Tax holiday is discussed as usual. But it will be misused. We have to know the sub-sectors where tax holiday is applicable. These are not clear to me. We have to know the relationship with this tax holiday with export growth, GDP, employment. These are not clear.