Potential impacts of
climate change
Observed climate trends
Potential impacts of
climate change
Forests
Cryosphere
Oceans and coastal areas
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Great
ocean conveyor belt
The global conveyor belt thermohaline circulation is driven
primarily by the formation and sinking of deep water (from around
1500m to the Antarctic bottom water overlying the bottom of the
ocean) in the Norwegian Sea.
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Potential
impact of sea-level rise on Bangladesh
Bangladesh, one of the world's poorest nations is also the country
most vulnerable to sea-level rise.
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Potential
impact of sea level rise: Nile Delta (today)
The Nile Delta is one of the oldest intensely cultivated areas on
earth. It is very heavily populated, with population densities up
to 1600 inhabitants per square kilometer. The low lying, fertile
floodplains are surrounded by deserts. Only 2,5% of Egypt's land
area, the Nile delta and the Nile valley, is suitable for
intensive agriculture. Most of a 50 km wide land strip along the
coast is less than 2 m above sea-level and is protected from
flooding by a 1 to 10 km wide coastal sand belt only, shaped by
discharge of the Rosetta and Damietta branches of the Nile.
Erosion of the protective sand belt is a serious problem and has
accelerated since the construction of the Aswan dam.
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Potential
impact of sea level rise: Nile Delta (0.5 to 1.0 metres)
Rising sea level would destroy weak parts of the sand belt, which
is essential for the protection of lagoons and the low-lying
reclaimed lands. The impacts would be very serious: One third of
Egypt's fish catches are made in the lagoons. Sea level rise would
change the water quality and affect most fresh water fish.
Valuable agricultural land would be innundated.
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Agriculture
Freshwater resources
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Freshwater
stress
Even if the world maintained the pace of the 1990s in water supply
development, it would not be enough to ensure that everyone had
access to safe drinkning water by 2025.
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Population
and freshwater stress
One study suggests that although global water conditions may
worsen by 2025 due to population pressure, climate change could
have a net positive impact on global water resources.
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Human health
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Spread
of major tropical vector-borne diseases
Climate change and altered weather patters would affect the range
(both altitude and latitude), intensity, and seasonality of many
vector-borne and other infectioius diseases.
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Potential
dengue transmission in case of temperature rise
A warmer climate increases occasions of vector borne tropical
diseases. The figure depicts weeks of potential dengue
transmission under current temperature and 2°C and 4 °C warming.
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Malaria.
Plasmodium vivax, with the Anopheles mosquito as a vector, is an
organism causing malaria. The main climate factors that have
bearing on the malarial transmission potential of the mosquito
population are temperature and precipitation.
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source: United
Nations Environment Programme / GRID-Arendal
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